Event section image

Razor-Thin Elections

29Jun

Speaker

Prof. Cesar MARTINELLI

Prof. Cesar MARTINELLI

George Mason University


Time

9:00 am, 29 Jun 2022

Venue

Zoom


Abstract


We model head-to-head elections as a competition between incentive schemes to turn out voters. We show that elections are either heavily contested, and decided by thin margins, or safe, meaning that voters in one of the two sides effectively give in, possibly leading to a landslide in favor of the larger side. In equilibrium, as the quality of polling improves, contested elections with razor-thin margins become prevalent.

 

https://econ.hkbu.edu.hk/eng/Doc/20220629_%20MARTINELLI.pdf